UPDATED: 04-09-26 09:31 PDT

women Alvernia 3
  
Alvernia              
W-L: ( 2-10) PR = 81.3448

Schedule/Results All Games

Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 218 H Marymount Atlantic East ( 6- 6, 84.9) 4-14 221 H Immaculata Atlantic East ( 2-10, 75.6) 18- 4 225 H Swarthmore Centennial (10- 2, 93.9) 1-15 228 A Elizabethtown Landmark ( 6- 5, 81.7) 9-10 304 A Arcadia MAC Freedom (11- 1, 86.6) 5- 7 311 A Ursinus Centennial ( 7- 6, 91.7) 1-20 314 H Misericordia MAC Freedom ( 6- 5, 84.2) 11-12 318 A Susquehanna Landmark ( 6- 6, 86.6) 2-12 321 A Stockton NJAC ( 9- 4, 89.1) 4-16 325 H Gwynedd Mercy Atlantic East ( 2-10, 72.4) 18- 9 401 A Albright MAC Commonwea ( 7- 5, 83.0) 8-12 408 A Hood MAC Commonwea ( 5- 5, 85.2) 7-14 411 H Messiah MAC Commonwea ( 7- 4, 95.5) 415 A Eastern MAC Commonwea ( 3- 5, 73.0) 418 H Stevenson MAC Commonwea ( 6- 5, 90.4) 422 H Widener MAC Commonwea ( 7- 5, 88.9) 425 A York MAC Commonwea ( 8- 4, 96.0)

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   218 H Marymount               4-14     -10    -3          -1.72
   221 H Immaculata             18- 4      14     6           0.00
   225 H Swarthmore              1-15     -14   -12           0.00
   228 A Elizabethtown           9-10      -1    -1          -0.33
   304 A Arcadia                 5- 7      -2    -6    +      3.00
   311 A Ursinus                 1-20     -19   -11           0.00
   314 H Misericordia           11-12      -1    -3           1.55
   318 A Susquehanna             2-12     -10    -6           0.00
   321 A Stockton                4-16     -12    -8           0.00
   325 H Gwynedd Mercy          18- 9       9     9           0.00
   401 A Albright                8-12      -4    -2    -     -2.00
   408 A Hood                    7-14      -7    -4          -0.87

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   401 A Albright                8-12      -4    -2    -     -2.00

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   304 A Arcadia                 5- 7      -2    -6    +      3.00

Alvernia Evaluation

The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria: 
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
Opponent Who Gets
the Point?
Head-2-Head
Point
Common Opponent
Point
Power Rating
Point
Adrian Adrian   Adrian
Albertus Magnus Alvernia   Alvernia
Albion Alvernia   Alvernia
Albright Albright Albright  
Alfred Alvernia   Alvernia
Alfred State Alvernia   Alvernia
Allegheny Alvernia   Alvernia
Alma Alvernia   Alvernia
Amherst Amherst   Amherst
Anderson (IN) Anderson (IN)   Anderson (IN)
Anna Maria Alvernia   Alvernia
Arcadia Arcadia Arcadia  
Augsburg Alvernia   Alvernia
Augustana (IL) Alvernia   Alvernia
Aurora Alvernia   Alvernia
Averett Averett   Averett
Babson Babson   Babson
Baldwin Wallace Baldwin Wallace   Baldwin Wallace
Bard Alvernia   Alvernia
Bates Bates   Bates
Beloit Alvernia   Alvernia
Berry Berry tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Berry
Bethany Alvernia   Alvernia
Bowdoin Bowdoin   Bowdoin
Brevard Alvernia   Alvernia
Bridgewater Bridgewater insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) Bridgewater
Bridgewater State Bridgewater State   Bridgewater State
Brockport Brockport   Brockport
Buffalo State Buffalo State   Buffalo State
Cal Lutheran Alvernia   Alvernia
Calvin Calvin   Calvin
Canton Alvernia   Alvernia
Capital Alvernia   Alvernia
Carroll Carroll insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Carroll
Carthage Carthage   Carthage
Castleton Alvernia   Alvernia
Catholic Catholic insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Catholic
Cedar Crest Alvernia   Alvernia
Centenary (NJ) Alvernia insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Alvernia
Centre Centre   Centre
Chapman Chapman   Chapman
Chatham Chatham tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Chatham
Chicago Chicago   Chicago
Christopher Newport Christopher Newport insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Christopher Newport
Claremont-Mudd-Scripps Claremont-Mudd-Scripps   Claremont-Mudd-Scripps
Clark Alvernia tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Alvernia
Clarkson Clarkson   Clarkson
Coast Guard Coast Guard   Coast Guard
Colby Colby   Colby
Colby-Sawyer Colby-Sawyer   Colby-Sawyer
Colorado College Colorado College   Colorado College
Concordia-Wisconsin Alvernia   Alvernia
Connecticut College Connecticut College   Connecticut College
Cornell College Alvernia tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Alvernia
Cortland Cortland   Cortland
Curry Alvernia   Alvernia
Dean Alvernia   Alvernia
Delaware Valley Alvernia insuffient: ( 2- 2)( 1- 3) Alvernia
Denison Denison   Denison
DePauw DePauw   DePauw
DeSales DeSales tied - ( 2- 2) ( 2- 2) DeSales
Dickinson Dickinson insuffient: ( 0- 3)( 1- 2) Dickinson
Drew Drew   Drew
Eastern Alvernia tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) Alvernia
Eastern Connecticut Eastern Connecticut   Eastern Connecticut
Eastern Mennonite Alvernia tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Alvernia
Edgewood Alvernia   Alvernia
Elizabethtown Elizabethtown Elizabethtown  
Elmhurst Alvernia   Alvernia
Elmira Alvernia   Alvernia
Elms Alvernia   Alvernia
Emerson Alvernia   Alvernia
Emmanuel (MA) Emmanuel (MA)   Emmanuel (MA)
Endicott Endicott   Endicott
Farmingdale State Alvernia tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Alvernia
FDU-Florham Alvernia tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Alvernia
Ferrum Ferrum   Ferrum
Fitchburg State Alvernia   Alvernia
Framingham State Framingham State   Framingham State
Franciscan Franciscan   Franciscan
Franklin Alvernia   Alvernia
Franklin & Marshall Franklin & Marshall insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Franklin & Marshall
Fredonia Fredonia   Fredonia
Geneseo Geneseo   Geneseo
Geneva College Alvernia   Alvernia
George Fox George Fox   George Fox
Gettysburg Gettysburg insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Gettysburg
Gordon Alvernia   Alvernia
Goucher Alvernia tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Alvernia
Greensboro Alvernia   Alvernia
Grove City Grove City   Grove City
Guilford Alvernia   Alvernia
Gwynedd Mercy Alvernia Alvernia  
Hamilton Hamilton   Hamilton
Hamline Alvernia   Alvernia
Hanover Alvernia   Alvernia
Hartford Hartford   Hartford
Hartwick Alvernia   Alvernia
Haverford Haverford Haverford   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Hendrix Hendrix   Hendrix
Hilbert Alvernia   Alvernia
Hood Hood Hood  
Hope Hope   Hope
Huntingdon Alvernia   Alvernia
Husson Alvernia   Alvernia
Illinois Tech Alvernia   Alvernia
Illinois Wesleyan Alvernia   Alvernia
Immaculata Alvernia Alvernia  
Ithaca Ithaca   Ithaca
John Carroll John Carroll   John Carroll
Johnson & Wales Johnson & Wales   Johnson & Wales
Kalamazoo Kalamazoo   Kalamazoo
Kean Kean tied - ( 0- 3) ( 0- 3) Kean
Keene State Keene State   Keene State
Kenyon Kenyon   Kenyon
Keuka Alvernia   Alvernia
Kings Alvernia insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) Alvernia
La Roche Alvernia   Alvernia
Lake Forest Lake Forest   Lake Forest
Lasell Lasell   Lasell
Lawrence Alvernia   Alvernia
Lebanon Valley Lebanon Valley Lebanon Valley   4- 0 vs 1- 3
Lewis & Clark Lewis & Clark   Lewis & Clark
Linfield Alvernia   Alvernia
Lycoming Alvernia tied - ( 1- 3) ( 1- 3) Alvernia
Lynchburg Lynchburg insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Lynchburg
Maine Maritime Alvernia   Alvernia
Maine-Farmington Alvernia   Alvernia
Manhattanville Alvernia tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Alvernia
Marian (WI) Alvernia   Alvernia
Marietta Alvernia   Alvernia
Maritime Alvernia   Alvernia
Mary Washington Mary Washington   Mary Washington
Marymount Marymount Marymount  
Marywood Marywood tied - ( 2- 2) ( 2- 2) Marywood
Massachusetts Maritime Alvernia   Alvernia
Massachusetts-Boston Alvernia   Alvernia
Massachusetts-Dartmouth Alvernia   Alvernia
McDaniel McDaniel insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) McDaniel
Merchant Marine Merchant Marine   Merchant Marine
Meredith Meredith insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Meredith
Messiah Messiah Messiah   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Methodist Alvernia   Alvernia
Middlebury Middlebury   Middlebury
Misericordia Misericordia Misericordia  
MIT MIT   MIT
Mitchell Alvernia   Alvernia
Montclair State Montclair State   Montclair State
Moravian Moravian Moravian   2- 1 vs 0- 3
Morrisville Alvernia   Alvernia
Mount Aloysius Alvernia   Alvernia
Mount Holyoke Alvernia   Alvernia
Mount St Joseph Mount St Joseph   Mount St Joseph
Mount St Mary (NY) Alvernia tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Alvernia
Mount St Vincent Alvernia tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Alvernia
Mount Union Mount Union   Mount Union
MSOE Alvernia   Alvernia
Muhlenberg Muhlenberg Muhlenberg   2- 1 vs 0- 3
Muskingum Alvernia   Alvernia
Nazareth Alvernia   Alvernia
Neumann Neumann insuffient: ( 0- 3)( 1- 2) Neumann
New England College Alvernia   Alvernia
New Paltz New Paltz   New Paltz
Nichols Nichols   Nichols
North Carolina Wesleyan Alvernia   Alvernia
North Central (IL) Alvernia   Alvernia
Norwich Alvernia   Alvernia
Notre Dame (MD) Alvernia insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Alvernia
Oberlin Oberlin   Oberlin
Occidental Occidental   Occidental
Oglethorpe Alvernia   Alvernia
Ohio Northern Ohio Northern   Ohio Northern
Ohio Wesleyan Ohio Wesleyan   Ohio Wesleyan
Old Westbury Alvernia   Alvernia
Oneonta Oneonta   Oneonta
Oswego Oswego   Oswego
Otterbein Otterbein   Otterbein
Pacific Alvernia   Alvernia
Pacific Lutheran Alvernia   Alvernia
Pfeiffer Alvernia   Alvernia
Piedmont Piedmont   Piedmont
Plattsburgh Alvernia   Alvernia
Plymouth State Plymouth State   Plymouth State
Pomona Pitzer Pomona Pitzer   Pomona Pitzer
Potsdam Alvernia   Alvernia
Puget Sound Alvernia   Alvernia
Purchase Alvernia   Alvernia
Ramapo Alvernia tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Alvernia
Randolph Alvernia   Alvernia
Randolph-Macon Randolph-Macon Randolph-Macon   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Redlands Redlands   Redlands
Regis (MA) Alvernia   Alvernia
Rhode Island College Alvernia   Alvernia
Rhodes Rhodes   Rhodes
RIT RIT   RIT
Rivier Alvernia   Alvernia
Roanoke Roanoke insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Roanoke
Rochester Rochester   Rochester
Roger Williams Roger Williams   Roger Williams
Rowan Rowan Rowan   3- 0 vs 0- 3
RPI RPI tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) RPI
Sage Alvernia   Alvernia
Salem State Alvernia   Alvernia
Salisbury Salisbury   Salisbury
Salve Regina Salve Regina   Salve Regina
Scranton Scranton insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Scranton
Sewanee Sewanee   Sewanee
Shenandoah Shenandoah insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Shenandoah
Simmons Alvernia   Alvernia
Skidmore Skidmore   Skidmore
Smith Smith   Smith
Southern Maine Southern Maine   Southern Maine
Southern Virginia Alvernia tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Alvernia
Southwestern Alvernia   Alvernia
Spalding Alvernia   Alvernia
Springfield Springfield   Springfield
St Benedict St Benedict   St Benedict
St John Fisher St John Fisher   St John Fisher
St Joseph (CT) Alvernia tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Alvernia
St Josephs (LI) Alvernia tied - ( 0- 3) ( 0- 3) Alvernia
St Josephs College (ME) St Josephs College (ME)   St Josephs College (ME)
St Lawrence St Lawrence   St Lawrence
St Marys (IN) Alvernia   Alvernia
St Marys (MD) St Marys (MD)   St Marys (MD)
St Vincent Alvernia   Alvernia
Stevens Stevens   Stevens
Stevenson Stevenson insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) Stevenson
Stockton Stockton Stockton  
Suffolk Alvernia   Alvernia
SUNY Poly Alvernia   Alvernia
Susquehanna Susquehanna Susquehanna  
Swarthmore Swarthmore Swarthmore  
Sweet Briar Alvernia   Alvernia
TCNJ TCNJ insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) TCNJ
Thiel Alvernia   Alvernia
Thomas Alvernia   Alvernia
Transylvania Alvernia   Alvernia
Trine Alvernia   Alvernia
Trinity Trinity   Trinity
Trinity Washington Alvernia   Alvernia
Tufts Tufts   Tufts
U New England U New England   U New England
Union Union   Union
Ursinus Ursinus Ursinus  
Utica Utica   Utica
Vassar Vassar   Vassar
Vermont State-Lyndon Vermont State-Lyndon   Vermont State-Lyndon
Virginia Wesleyan Virginia Wesleyan tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Virginia Wesleyan
Warren Wilson Alvernia   Alvernia
Washington & Jefferson Washington & Jefferson   Washington & Jefferson
Washington & Lee Washington & Lee   Washington & Lee
Washington College Washington College Washington College   2- 1 vs 0- 3
Wellesley Alvernia   Alvernia
Wentworth Tech Alvernia   Alvernia
Wesleyan Wesleyan   Wesleyan
Western Connecticut Western Connecticut   Western Connecticut
Western New England Western New England   Western New England
Westfield State Westfield State   Westfield State
Westminster (PA) Alvernia tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Alvernia
Wheaton (MA) Wheaton (MA)   Wheaton (MA)
Whitman Whitman   Whitman
Whittier Whittier   Whittier
Whitworth Whitworth   Whitworth
Widener Widener Widener   4- 1 vs 1- 4
Wilkes Alvernia tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) Alvernia
Willamette Willamette   Willamette
William Peace Alvernia   Alvernia
William Smith William Smith   William Smith
Williams Williams   Williams
Wilson Alvernia tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) Alvernia
Wisconsin-Eau Claire Wisconsin-Eau Claire   Wisconsin-Eau Claire
Wisconsin-La Crosse Wisconsin-La Crosse   Wisconsin-La Crosse
Wisconsin-River Falls Wisconsin-River Falls   Wisconsin-River Falls
Wisconsin-Stevens Point Alvernia   Alvernia
Wisconsin-Stout Alvernia   Alvernia
Wittenberg Alvernia   Alvernia
Wooster Wooster   Wooster
Worcester State Worcester State tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Worcester State
York York   York

PowerWise = 124


division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 10.51

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   0 H Marymount       ( 6- 6, 84.9)     4-14      -14.96      24.23      -0.31         0.88           -13.37
   0 H Immaculata      ( 2-10, 75.6)    18- 4      -24.29      14.91      -0.31         0.88            12.78
   0 H Swarthmore      (10- 2, 93.9)     1-15       -5.96      33.23      -0.31         0.88            -5.49
   0 A Elizabethtown   ( 6- 5, 81.7)     9-10      -18.20      21.00       0.31         0.88           -15.66
   0 A Arcadia         (11- 1, 86.6)     5- 7      -13.29      25.90       0.31         0.88           -11.37
   0 A Ursinus         ( 7- 6, 91.7)     1-20       -8.24      30.96       0.31         0.88            -6.94
   0 H Misericordia    ( 6- 5, 84.2)    11-12      -15.69      23.50      -0.31         0.88           -14.01
   0 A Susquehanna     ( 6- 6, 86.6)     2-12      -13.28      25.92       0.31         0.88           -11.35
   0 A Stockton        ( 9- 4, 89.1)     4-16      -10.77      28.43       0.31         0.88            -9.16
   0 H Gwynedd Mercy   ( 2-10, 72.4)    18- 9      -27.45      11.74      -0.31         0.88            10.01
   0 A Albright        ( 7- 5, 83.0)     8-12      -16.87      22.32       0.31         0.88           -14.50
   0 A Hood            ( 5- 5, 85.2)     7-14      -14.73      24.46       0.31         0.88           -12.63
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                       -91.69

winning pts = 22.7894 losing points = -114.4832

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------